Grocery Stores Remain Relevant As Physical Retail Space Suffers During Pandemic
Photo: Pixabay
This article originally appeared in the December edition of Presence Marketing’s Industry Newsletter
By Steven Hoffman
“We are clearly overretailed in America,” Byron Carlock, director of U.S. retail estate practice for London-based Pricewaterhouse Coopers (PwC), told Fast Company in November. “Suburban sprawl created a situation where we just believed that every time there was a new intersection with four corners we needed to put up four strip centers. We’re learning differently now,” he told Fast Company.
According to PwC, average retail space for countries including France, Germany, the U.K. and Japan is less than 5 square feet per person, vs. in the U.S., where physical retail spaces averages more than 23 square feet per person. In other larger countries like the U.S., retail space is higher: in Canada, average retail space is 16 square feet per person; in Australia it’s approximately 11 square feet per person, according to PwC.
As e-commerce sales continue to grow, analysts were already seeing brick and mortar retail space shrink and transform before then pandemic. Now, however, “some prognosticators think we’re not only overretailed, we’re underdemolished,” Carlock said. “There will be retail that will be demolished and repurposed, and then there will be retail that continues to support our lifestyles and is relevant and is useful and is important,” he told Fast Company.
As the pandemic changes the face of retailing, PwC says that “necessity-based” retail, including grocery stores, pharmacies and other “neighborhood-oriented” retailers will remain relevant. Carlock estimated that physical retail space in the U.S. may ultimately looks more like Canada’s average 16 square feet, representing a 30% decrease in physical retail space in the U.S.
As retail rents drop – Fast Company reported that in New York alone, retail rents in major commercial areas have declined approximately 13% in the third quarter 2020 – the repurposing and reuse of former retail space in desirable areas may be on the rise. In addition, Carlock told Fast Company that the demolition of existing underused retail can make use for other residential or mixed use development.
PanXchange Powers Through Pandemic with Award-Winning CEO Julie Lerner
This article originally appeared in the November 18, 2020 edition of the Let’s Talk Hemp Newsletter
By Heather Collins
Before Denver’s population boom several years ago, Julie Lerner, CEO and Founder of PanXchange, the leading benchmark price provider in the US Hemp Industry and other physical commodities, already had her eyes set on living near the majestic peaks of the Rocky Mountains.
“While living in New York, I loved the idea of being closer to the mountains. It became clear Denver was the perfect spot to take my commodity knowledge and break out on my own.,” says Lerner, who was familiar with international trading from her experience at Cargill in Switzerland, the US, and Latin America. “My vision was to build my business platform for markets while enjoying my time outside in nature.”
In the past nine years, the company’s trading platform has disrupted commodity markets. PanXchange has set industry standards for efficient trade, accurate benchmark pricing, providing market intel, and specializes data for commodities such as East African corn, beans, peas, specialty sand (proppants) market for US oil and gas extraction and most recently, hemp. Its benchmarks are known as a pricing discovery tool with trade-backed data. Its monthly reports also include robust fundamental market analysis for manufacturers, buyers, farmers, end-users, and investors.
“Hemp wasn’t really on my radar when we first started because I created PanXchange before the passing of the Farm Bill,” says Lerner. Hemp was also far from Lerner’s expertise, “I’m a commodities specialist, not a hemp specialist.”
According to its website, the PanXchange hemp platform is “a user-friendly, centralized marketplace to source and trade hemp biomass, crude oil, isolate, distillate, and flower.” In October, the company began issuing the first and only US benchmark prices for Hemp Grain and True Hemp.
Hemp Takes Off
Lerner admits that when marijuana became legal, she knew it had limited growth potential as a commodity (vs. a specialty product), unlike hemp, which is viable and sustainable. “When PanXchange first started back in 2012, everyone talked about cannabis because recreational marijuana had just become legalized in Colorado. We didn’t bite.”
Four weeks after the passing of the Farm Bill, PanXchange’s hemp platform was up and running, and according to Lerner, “We were first-to-market on providing benchmarks for hemp. Everything we were doing from our patented methodologies and reports with other commodities, actually prepared us for hemp.”
Due to the popularity of hemp, PanXchange carefully vets those who request access to the patented platform. Lerner indicates, “We want to build a relationship in understanding what the buyer needs to succeed, and we want to know what it takes to move hemp from Point A to Point B.”
Leading the Industry
Unlike other agencies in the space, Lerner is quick to point out that, “PanXchange is far more than a reporting agency. We are a trusted source that relies on trade-backed data, thanks to the relationships we have built. We pride ourselves on keeping the industry informed with interactive pricing charts, fundamental analysis, and data.”
A frequent media contributor to the Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg, Lerner is also the recipient of the Denver Business Journal’s “Colorado’s 12 Most Admired CEOs” in 2018 and the Outstanding Women in Business Award in 2020. Markets Choice recently named Lerner one of six finalists for the 6th Annual Markets Choice Awards: Women in Finance category.
The Future
When the country went into shut down mode in mid-March due to the Covid-19 Pandemic, Lerner was in the middle of preparing for a CNN International interview. “It was devastating, but you do what you need to do, and our entire team pivoted quickly. We immediately reached out to our network to make sure everything was in place for a smooth transition.”
As time marched on through Spring, Lerner and her team provided content and data analysis to their network. They participated in more than two dozen webinars and panels, including the NoCo Hemp Expo Earth Week Virtual Conference where Lerner advised hemp producers and farmers to be ready for the future, especially during the pandemic.
Echoing that sentiment, she says that message is still valid today, “The industry needs to be ready for the future because hope is not a strategy! I recommend that farmers, manufacturers, CBD producers, everyone – find your competitive edge, which will help you succeed in this rapidly evolving industry.”
If you are interested in PanXchange’s hemp platform and want to request a demo, visit panxchange.com. For more information, reach out to the hemp team at hemp@panxchange.com.
Natural Products Industry on Front Lines of Coronavirus Crisis
Photo: Empty produce shelves at Whole Foods Market, Longmont, CO, March 13, 2020; Compass Natural
By Steven Hoffman
Editor’s Note: Since this article was prepared for publication, it was reported this week that employees at Amazon, Instacart and Whole Foods Market were planning to stage walkouts or “sick-outs” due to worker safety concerns. A handful of workers at Whole Foods Market locations in Huntingdon Beach, Fort Lauderdale, Chicago and New York have tested positive for coronavirus, raising employee concerns. Many grocers are installing plexiglass sneeze guards to protect cashiers from coronavirus. This article originally appeared in New Hope Network’s IdeaXchange and will appear in Presence Marketing’s April 2020 newsletter edition.
From the moment in early March when New Hope Network first announced the postponement of Natural Products Expo West – what Forbes Magazine referred to as the “Super Bowl of natural CPG” – to later in the month when UNFI CEO Steve Spinner joined a group of food, retail and distribution leaders at the White House to help ensure that America’s grocery shelves stay stocked – no small feat during the panic buying rush of the past few weeks – the COVID-19 pandemic has put the natural products industry on the front lines of the coronavirus crisis.
There have been many challenges – and a few opportunities – associated with this position. Stores find themselves short staffed and have had to cut hours to deep clean and restock empty shelves. Staffs are stretched thin. Restaurants and food service operations have had to shut down, putting many out of work. Long lines and controlled entry have been reported in some stores. Many retailers are dedicating Senior Hours before the stores open to the general public to give elderly people a chance to have access to product before the rush.
On the other hand, retailers are hiring, often providing jobs for laid-off restaurant and food service workers. Natural products grocers including Whole Foods Market and Natural
Grocers are offering interim incentives on top of current hourly rates to keep and recruit labor. Whole Foods is partnering with Amazon to expand resources and capacity for door drop and home delivery. Kroger CEO Rodney McMullen told CNBC in late March that the Cincinnati-based grocer, which operates 2,800 stores in 35 states, hired 2,000 people in March to keep up with increased demand from the coronavirus outbreak, and still has 10,000 openings to fill. Walmart announced it wants to hire 150,000 temporary workers through May, and Amazon is hiring an additional 100,000 workers to deal with coronavirus demand.
Sales, too, are through the roof for natural products retailers and CPG stores across the country as people stock up on a month's worth of groceries and staple goods instead of a typical week’s worth. Food Dive reported that sales of staples soared in March, indicating that consumers were preparing for the long haul. Add to that the fact that, with the closing of restaurants and cafes in many states, and with the call for social distancing, people are now eating at home, putting further strain on conventional and natural foods retail markets.
“You Need to Get Out on the Floor and Stock Shelves!”
For Gabe Nabors, CEO of the Mustard Seed Market & Cafe, with two full-service natural foods supermarkets and a bakery in Ohio and also renowned for its restaurants and catering, the stores have pivoted to offer in-store take-out meal solutions for its customers as the state of Ohio in March called for the closing of bars and restaurants. Mustard Seed has been promoting this expanded service on social media, and recently posted the steps it is taking to sanitize its stores, ensure product availability, and protect workers and customers.
“We are packaging our most popular soups from our restaurant in ‘fresh or freeze’ containers and are ramping up in-store prepared foods,” Nabors said. “We’re pivoting from banquets and catering to contacting assisted living homes, local nonprofits, hospices and elsewhere to let them know we have healthy prepared foods available for takeout. We’re also in talks with Instacart to expedite the launch of a delivery service. A large percentage of food sales in America is through restaurants and food service; with that closed, it puts added pressure on the grocery stores. As such, our entire team has been stocking shelves - if you have an office job and it’s not mission critical - you need to get out on the floor and stock shelves!” Nabors added about managing the current crisis situation.
“We and our distributors have trucks running nonstop throughout our 20 state system, but it’s still a limited number of pallets per load,” said Alan Lewis, Director of Public Policy for Natural Grocers. “To better serve demand, we've curtailed the delivery of water, which is generally available locally, to focus instead on providing staple goods, produce and perishables. Our stores have been the calmest, most organized places to shop and our customers have been exemplary in not hoarding, and helping create a sense of calm and the feeling that we are all in this together,” Lewis observed. "People have been so cordial and kind to each other and thanking everyone in the stores for making the food available,” he said.
“Currently, there is plenty of food ready to be delivered in the supply chain. The outages are not shortages,” said Lewis. To ensure steady supply, he feels that food workers, from agriculture to manufacturing and retail, should be termed ‘essential workers.’ “We’ve been in conversation with the Colorado Department of Agriculture and others asking them not to stop essential agricultural workers,” he said. “As a result, CDA has notified law enforcement officials, requesting that agriculture workers be able to travel to and from work,” he added.
“People working overtime in delivery, back of house, stocking shelves, cashiers, e-commerce fulfillment – they are now critical infrastructure to keeping this country running. We should be cognizant of the stress on store staff and provide more resources to help them, for example, living wages, free child care, paid sick leave, collective bargaining rights, proper protective equipment, etc.,” said Errol Schweizer, retail and brand veteran and former head of grocery purchasing for Whole Foods Market. “The cooks, clerks, packers, loaders – the folks that often are poorly paid, overworked and invisible – how often have we heard pundits refer to them as unskilled? Now that everyone sees how crucial – and skilled – they are, we need to assure they are treated with dignity and respect.”
Industry Responds to Heightened Demand
For distributors, which have received generally positive reviews in responding to the crisis, sales are up dramatically, too. Leading natural products distributor UNFI's stock more than doubled in late March as consumers stocked up. "It is important for all Americans to know that they can continue to count on companies like ours to keep stores well-stocked with a variety of food and wellness products during this critical period,” Spinner said in a statement. "In addition to having business continuity and safety plans in place to help keep America fed, UNFI is supplementing its coordination with federal, state, and local government agencies by now collaborating directly with the White House and industry peers. We firmly believe that increased levels of public-private collaboration can further enhance UNFI's around-the-clock efforts to meet our customers current and future needs.”
Natural and organic products manufacturers, too, are scrambling to satisfy increased demand. In a LinkedIn post, Wayne Wu, General Partner of VMG Partners, observed, "We're hearing many shelf stable food, beverage and supplement brands are generally doing well in brick and mortar stores as consumers stock up, but also seeing a 50%+ sales lift in the past couple of weeks in their e-commerce or grocery delivery channels, such as Amazon, Walmart.com, DTC or Instacart, as consumers are potentially pantry loading, but may lead to more permanent behavior change in how they purchase their more consumable-type products that they’ve traditionally purchased at a brick and mortar location to a more permanent lift online for these type of consumable items.”
Working from home is not stopping Steve Wangler, VP of Sales for The Good Crisp Company, maker of all natural canister chips. Working with Presence Marketing as its broker, Wangler said, “We’ve been in contact with every single field and accounting rep of Presence Marketing. Even sidelined, together we are engaging with retailers virtually, keeping them apprised of stock situations, asking what they need, etc. The entire Presence team has been very proactive, highly responsive, highly engaged, and looking for ways to support retailers and brands. Also, we are attracting consumers that are new to our brand through our online efforts, and we’re hoping we’ll keep those consumers once they experience our product."
Noticing a trend accompanying consumers’ response to the coronavirus crisis, Eric Schnell, cofounder of the marketing collective BeyondBrands and mood33, a cannabis and CBD based beverage line, was informed by his Florida distributor that mood33’s top-selling CBD SKU, Energy, was replaced by its Calm formula in March. “It’s an indicator of how stressed people are feeling right now,” Schnell observed.
"As a service provider we are doing our best to support our natural products clients, and on the brand side, we are seeing an immediate uptick in sales,” he said. "Every manufacturer I’ve spoken with is still operating at full capacity, including supplements, beverages and food, to meet demand from both brick and mortar and e-commerce.”
“Unity in the Community is Key”
The BeyondBrands team, like other natural products brokers, distributors and service providers throughout the country, is rising to the challenge and doing its best to help partner brands deal with retail demand. “Rather than going into stores to sell items, we are recommending going into stores and offering to help stock shelves,” Schnell said. “Connection and collaboration are key right now. More than ever, it feels like people need unity in the natural foods community. Whether you are on the service, brand or retail side, we are all in this together and we have to see ourselves through this, together.”
At Dr. Bronner’s, demand for soap and hand sanitizer has spiked, and the company is doing its best to fulfill the increase in orders, said David and Michael Bronner in a
statement published on March 16. “In spite of our best efforts, constraints prevent us from fully meeting orders: our hand sanitizer, for example, can only be produced at FDA-licensed drug manufacturing facilities, and is being produced at 600% our usual rate.”
In addition, the Bronner brothers wrote, “We are allocating a reserve of 2% of all hand sanitizer production to donate to at-risk communities and the organizations that serve them, so they have access to our hand sanitizer, as well. Please also buy only what you think you need, so that everyone who needs our products can obtain them. This is an important time to remember that we are all connected and need to look out for each other, now more than ever,” they wrote.
As for New Hope Network, after announcing that Expo West was not just postponed but cancelled for 2020, the company that leads communications efforts in the natural industry announced in a video update on March 20 that it would provide assistance to small businesses hurt by the cancellation.
“Due to the decision to cancel voluntarily and without being asked to do so by local, state or federal edict or other force majeure circumstances, our insurance provisions were not triggered and significant costs and liabilities were incurred by New Hope,” said Carlotta Mast, New Hope’s Senior VP of Content. However, she continued, “To help support those most impacted by the Expo West cancellation, our parent company Informa has established a $5 million fund that will be disbursed under the guidance of an independent advisory council made up of 20 industry leaders. The advisory council is working on this task now and is aiming to have its guidance delivered to the New Hope Network leadership team by the week of April 6,” she reported.
The company announced it is focusing its energies on the upcoming Natural Products Expo East, slated for Sept. 23-26, 2020, in Philadelphia, and is issuing a full credit for any Expo West exhibitor or sponsorship fees, in which the credit can be applied to Expo East, Expo West 2021, or to its media and market research publications. Expo West badge registration and education fees also will be fully refunded in the coming weeks. New Hope also announced a free product directory listing for 2020 Expo West exhibitors along with upcoming webinars and education, and referred further questions to its Expo West FAQ page.
In closing, John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, summarized how our industry has risen to the occasion in serving community, workers and customers during the coronavirus crisis. In an email to constituents, he wrote, “If you’ve shopped our stores in recent weeks, you’ve experienced our team members’ dedication and diligence to serving your community during a time of uncertainty. None of this is lost on us… As a company, Whole Foods Market is adjusting to the current circumstances that all of us are facing during this unprecedented time. We believe that the service we provide as a grocer is an essential one, and we are committed to continuing to serve our customers in a safe and responsible manner, both in our stores and through delivery. Thank you for your kindness and patience as our team continues to work hard to serve our customers and communities. Please take care.”