After Boom and Bust, Could Hemp Market Be Stabilizing?
This article first appeared in the May 2024 issue of Presence Marketing’s newsletter.
By Steven Hoffman
Could the hemp industry be on the cusp of a turnaround? After several years of volatility for U.S. hemp growers, prices and acreage in many states are beginning to stabilize or are rising modestly, according to the National Hemp Report, published by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) in April 2024.
According to the USDA, the value of U.S. hemp crop production in 2023 totaled $291 million, up 18% from 2022. Based on a survey sent out in January 2024 to producers across the country as part of USDA’s national agriculture census, the report shows signs of renewed market growth and improved on-farm efficiencies. “There was the big boom, then the big falloff, and this year everything is sort of leveling out,” Joshua Bates, a USDA statistician who wrote the landmark National Hemp Report, told MJBiz Daily.
“The hemp industry is stabilizing into its various categories including: 1) cannabinoids, nutraceuticals and flower; 2) food, feed and nutrition; and 3) fiber and industrial materials and applications. At this time, a much clearer picture is emerging as to where these categories can end up over the next three, five and ten years,” said Morris Beegle, publisher of Let’s Talk Hemp and producer of NoCo Hemp Expo, the leading trade show and conference for the hemp industry.
“The past several years posed significant challenges, starting with the pandemic’s onset and exacerbated by the federal government’s regulatory ambiguity regarding CBD and hemp-derived cannabinoids. Add to that burdensome regulations imposed on farmers endeavoring to cultivate hemp fiber and grain – crops that deserve equitable treatment akin to any other commodity. Such circumstances deter participation in this budding industry. What we truly require are coherent federal regulations applicable universally, instead of disjointed state-level initiatives that render the industry vulnerable and unsupported,” Beegle said.
Recovery on the Horizon
Production of industrial hemp for food, fiber and flower took off after it was legalized in the 2018 federal Farm Bill. In the years before the Covid pandemic, hemp acreage was on the rise, entrepreneurs and investors flocked into the market, and there was an explosion in the number of CBD and other hemp-related brands.
However, since 2020, the market for products made from hemp (defined as containing less than 0.3% THC) experienced a significant downturn, sparked by the pandemic and made worse by a lack of regulatory consistency over CBD and other hemp-derived cannabinoid compounds from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and state regulators. Investors pulled back. Brands did everything they could to survive; some didn’t. Overproduction during this time, too, led to steep drops in the price of hemp. As a result, hemp acreage plummeted from an estimated peak of 37,000 acres harvested in 2020 to a little more than 19,000 acres harvested in 2022.
Now, according to USDA’s hemp report, overall hemp acreage harvested in 2023 increased 21% to a total of 23,475 acres, signaling a potential turnaround in the market.
Hemp flowers for CBD and other hemp-derived cannabinoids -- including the intoxicating compounds Delta 8 and Delta 9 – dominated the market in 2023. While flower acreage remained relatively flat at approximately 7,000 acres in 2023, flower producers experienced an income gain of 35%, according to USDA data. Of the $291 million in market value for hemp in 2023, $241 million of that income came from hemp flowers. However, based on regulatory and safety concerns around Delta 8 and other hemp-derived psychoactive compounds, a number of industry observers feel this growth may be unsustainable, as lawmakers could severely limit the sale of these products.
Speaking of the hemp flower sector, economist Beau Whitney of Whitney Economics said, “It is quite possible that the cannabinoid industry has peaked. The excess inventories are mostly depleted and there is not enough acreage, in our view, to backfill with enough supply to sustain the level of sales experienced currently. This is a mistake by legislatures and regulators and now opens the door up for cheaper, but potentially lesser quality imports,” he cautioned.
Hemp grown for fiber – used in textiles and industrial applications – accounted for 52% of all hemp acreage harvested in 2023. While acreage grew, USDA reported that prices dropped and farmers brought in less income. However, says Whitney, “Hemp fiber is where we are forecasting significant growth in the short term, while cannabinoids and grains get sorted out. Hemp for plastics and automotive are already established in the global marketplace and are expanding in the United States. Hemp as a construction material is also increasing, but that growth has been somewhat sluggish in its initial ramp-up.”
Regarding hemp grown for food and grain, Whitney remarked, “The food industry is pretty steady. One major game changer would be FDA approval for hemp grains as an animal feed. It appears that the FDA is setting up unrealistic requirements for cannabinoid content in feed, so much so that consumers/animals would have less strict requirements for heavy metals and poisons than CBD content. There is a huge market for hemp grain internationally, but other supply chain issues and geopolitical tensions are impacting expansion efforts by U.S. hemp operators.”
According to USDA’s National Hemp Report, hemp grown for grain accounted for 17% of all hemp acreage harvested. Canada and China remain the world’s leading countries for hemp grain production, yet, as plant-based foods become more popular, U.S. growers stand to benefit from opportunities in growing hemp for food, as it is one of the richest plant-based sources of protein, essential fatty acids and other key nutrients.
“The use of hemp in automotive, pulp and paper (packaging), and building material applications are all increasing in the pace of growth,” Whitney added. “The major headwind is the narrative that hemp is a drug. The lack of awareness and education by policymakers on the potential of hemp is its limiting factor. Policymakers are using a sledgehammer instead of a scalpel when making hemp policy, and it’s having a ripple effect throughout the industry from an operator, investor and infrastructure perspective,” he said.
Stuck Between FDA and the MJ Industry
“There are two big battles going on in Washington, DC, right now. One is the hemp industry against the FDA. The other is hemp vs. marijuana,” observed Jonathan Miller, General Counsel of the U.S. Hemp Roundtable, the hemp trade’s leading advocacy and lobbying group.
“We’ve been trying to get the FDA to regulate CBD and other extracts. First, they said they were working on it and now they say they need congressional authority. It’s a game of pointing fingers – Congress says it needs guidance from FDA, and FDA says it needs direction from Congress, so we’ve got a stalemate. However, there has been a lot of congressional and public pressure on FDA to act, so that may be a reason why the agency is talking to us now,” Miller said. “We would love to see something resolved this year; there is talk of an interim step where Congress could potentially pass a law to validate existing state programs in the absence of consistent federal regulations. The Farm Bill may not happen until next year; meanwhile our efforts to find a vehicle for this compromise will continue.”
And, Miller said, “As always, we advise companies to act like they are being regulated by the FDA as a dietary supplement or a functional food and beverage product, and to operate within those regulations.”
In referring to competition with operators in the marijuana space, Miller said, “Regarding the marijuana industry, it is not monolithic, but there are a growing number of organizations that have made it their objective to kill the hemp industry as a means to capture competitive gain. This includes ATACH, the American Association for Hemp and Cannabis – though there are no hemp members – and the US Cannabis Council. Both have introduced plans that they would like to see in the Farm Bill to federally criminalize any hemp product that has any level of THC in it. That would criminalize all but CBD isolates,” he said.
“We are fighting both in the public eye and behind the scenes right now, and there’s a big battle going on in California in this regard. This is a threat we have to watch from the left flank. We are hopeful that any effort like this will die in Congress, but we are not banking on it; in fact, we are working very hard to prevent it. Just last week, we met with 55 different members of Congress and staff to discuss these issues and to present the hemp industry's position,” Miller added.
“All sectors of the hemp industry are growing, with the cannabinoid sector growing rapidly, to the point where it is outpacing the marijuana industry,” observed cannabis industry attorney Rod Kight of Kight Law. “The opportunities exist for nimble companies that are willing to take the time to navigate the rapidly evolving regulatory landscape and who can pivot as needed when regulations and markets change. I have hope that hemp can lead the path to true and comprehensive cannabis reform.”
FDA’s Position
When asked if the FDA could envision a scenario in which it would allow the sale of CBD as a dietary supplement without congressional action, Patrick Cournoyer, Senior Science Advisor with the FDA replied with the following:
“The FDA has concluded that the existing regulatory framework for dietary supplements is not appropriate for CBD. Given the available evidence, it is not apparent how CBD products could meet the safety standard for dietary supplements. For example, we have not found adequate evidence to determine how much CBD can be consumed, and for how long, before causing harm. Therefore, we do not intend to pursue rulemaking allowing the use of CBD in dietary supplements.”
Cournoyer’s office referred to FDA’s statement from January 2023, where the agency concluded that “existing regulatory frameworks for foods and supplements are not appropriate for cannabidiol,” and that it will work with Congress on “a new way forward.”
Added Cournoyer, “The FDA supports sound, scientifically based research into the medicinal uses of drug products containing cannabis or cannabis-derived compounds and will continue to work with companies interested in bringing safe, effective, and quality products to market.” Cournoyer referred to guidelines published on FDA’s webpage, “FDA and Cannabis: Research and Drug Approval Process.”
In addition to food, supplements and drugs intended for human consumption, FDA has regulatory oversight of animal feeds. Regarding the use of hemp in animal feed, an FDA spokesperson said, “After comprehensive review of data submitted by a sponsor, in January 2024, the FDA recommended to the Association of American Feed Control Officials (AAFCO) that a proposed ingredient definition for hemp seed meal in the feed of laying hens be included in the AAFCO Official Publication. The FDA has not reviewed any other submissions for the use of hemp seed or hemp seed derived ingredients in animal food.”
Wendy Mosher, VP of the Hemp Feed Coalition, told AgWeb in January 2024 that allowing hemp seed meal into feed mixes for laying hens marks the first hemp feed ingredient to get federal recommendation and interest by AAFCO. “You can’t have a commodity crop without a feed opportunity for that crop,” Mosher said.
In the absence of federal approval of hemp in animal feed, Texas legalized hempseed oil and hempseed meal for chickens and horses in 2023. Kentucky in 2022 allowed a limited amount of hempseed meal and hempseed oil as ingredients in the diets of layer, broiler, and breeder chickens. Montana legalized hemp or hemp-derived products in 2021 for “non-consumption animals,” i.e., pets, specialty pets, and horses, reported Hemp Benchmarks. However, in December 2023, New York Governor Kathy Hochul vetoed bills to allow hemp seed in animal feed, citing the need for more information.
While federal lawmakers and regulators move slowly in allowing the use of hemp in animal feed, USDA is providing grants to universities and others to research the potential use of hempseed, meal and biomass in animal feed. For example, researchers at Prairie View A&M University in Texas in 2023 received a $300,000 grant from USDA to explore hemp as an alternative grain in animal feed.
Building with Hemp
Building with hemp in the United States is increasing year over year, said Jean Lotus, Editor and Publisher of HempBuild Magazine. “Prices on building-grade hemp hurd remain high and the supply chain is neither complete, nor consistent. But hemp building in the United States is capturing the imaginations of developers and motivated owner-builders. Notable projects this year include a multi-unit tip-up hempcrete panel project in Newburyport, MA, and successful attainable hempcrete housing built by the Lower Sioux of Morton, MN,” she said.
“People may say hemp is dying, but it also recently received approval from the IRC (International Residential Codes) for the use of hempcrete in the U.S. for commercial construction,” noted James Johnson, Principal of JJGro in San Antonio, TX. Johnson, who discovered hemp’s healing properties while dealing with PTSD after 21 years of service in the U.S. Air Force, consults with hemp producers throughout the country. “Hemp is starting to be considered as part of the mix in mainstream commercial construction. It’s not going to replace traditional materials, but it will capture between 2% and 5% of the building construction space, Johnson predicted.
Lotus added that research in hemp building materials received significant funding in the past year, including $1.9 million from the U.S. Army; $1.5 million from the Department of Energy; and $1.1 million from the New York State Energy Resource and Development Authority (NYSERTA).
“Meanwhile, the regulatory environment for hempcrete's superior insulation and carbon sequestering properties is improving,” she said. “In April 2024, the U.S. Department of Energy released a roadmap to decarbonize the U.S. building industry. The report, Decarbonizing the U.S. Economy by 2050: A National Blueprint for the Buildings Sector, emphasized building with biogenic, regenerative materials. Hemp-lime and hemp-batt insulation perfectly fit the bill! With new companies developing carbon credits for hempcrete projects, there is more excitement and investment opportunity to come.”
“We are seeing increased interest in hemp across the board from consumers, universities, and large corporations wanting to utilize hemp as an input or ingredient. I think there's opportunities in every sector for savvy, smart business operators. While cannabinoids provide the biggest boom/bust potential, there are long term opportunities in the fiber and grain markets as the regulatory framework within those categories will eventually get to a point of any other commodity crop, for the most part,” said Morris Beegle.
“As to headwinds, it's still all political and bureaucratic,” Beegle added. “The industry needs to be unified in its voice to combat correctly, and I think we have made real progress the last few years with the vast majority of the ‘real’ industry aligning on messaging and action. We’re also seeing progress and persistence of the industry in delivering on the promise of hemp as an alternative resource to many of the world's current and future problems. The future is bright regardless of what some in the media, and some on social media, would like people to believe.”
Save the Date: NoCo Hemp Expo, Aug. 10-12, 2025, Estes Park, CO
Just Released: Hemp Industry 2023 Opportunities Report
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Let’s Talk Hemp presents the Hemp Industry 2023 Opportunities Report, the third annual overview of the key topics and trends that will affect the hemp industry in the year ahead.
What: Hemp Industry 2023 Opportunities Report
When: January 20, 2023
Where: https://letstalkhemp.com/hemp-industry-opportunities-report/
Free copy with the purchase of 9th Annual NoCo Hemp Expo Platinum or Conference ticket: https://www.nocohempexpo.com/ticket-sales/
Loveland, CO (January 20, 2023) – The third annual Hemp Industry Opportunities Report will be released today and is available for purchase at an introductory rate of $99 – and for free with the purchase of a Platinum or Conference ticket to the 9th Annual NoCo Hemp Expo.
“This report brings together information from all corners of the hemp industry to showcase the opportunities available and guide industry members in the year ahead,” said Morris Beegle, president of We Are for Better Alternatives (WAFBA), whose Let’s Talk Hemp Media outlet published the report.
The hemp industry’s road to success over the past few years has been challenging, compounded by uncertain regulatory oversight, supply issues and a global pandemic. However, a growing number of intrepid producers, entrepreneurs and business leaders are expanding the market and helping it mature. So, what’s in store in 2023 for the industrial hemp marketplace and what opportunities are on the horizon?
Beyond CBD, hemp innovators are hard at work creating more sustainable, regenerative and affordable options for such industries as textiles, manufacturing, transportation, plastics, food and nutrition, building and construction and more. Through science, technology and agricultural advances, equipment makers, producers, processors and others are creating a true renaissance in hemp production and manufacturing. And as the hemp and cannabis industry continues to engage with Congress and policymakers, businesses in the space may see a more favorable regulatory and investment environment in the future. It’s a tale of two industries: CBD faces ongoing market pressures and FDA regulatory challenges, while the food and fiber sectors are emerging with significant support from the USDA and others.
This is a must-read for industry leaders. Order your copy today!
Published by Let’s Talk Hemp Media, the Hemp Industry 2023 Opportunities Report presents a synopsis of the key topics and trends affecting the hemp industry, as well as information to help guide you on the road ahead. This comprehensive annual market overview features the following topics:
Hemp 2022: A Year in Review & A Look to the Future:
U.S. Hemp Market Stumbles in 2022, While EU Ripe With Opportunity,
Regulatory & Legislative Outlook:
Federal and State Legislation Activity in 2022 & What’s on the Horizon for 2023
FDA Warning Letters, Activity and Actions in 2022 & What They Mean for 2023
International Regulatory/Legal Update
The Wellness & Cannabinoid Market:
The CBD Market: A Rocky Road, Yet Bright Spots on the Horizon
The Delta-8 Debate: The Rise of Intoxicating Hemp-Derived Products
The Hemp Food Market (Food, Beverage & Animal Feed)
The Hemp Fiber Market (Woven, Apparel, Textiles & Non-Woven, Insulation, etc.)
The Hemp Building & Construction Market:
A Strong Foundation for Hemp Building Materials in the USA
Financial & Investor Outlook:
Investment in Industrial Hemp: A Tale of Two Cities and One Russian Oligarch
Authors include Beau R. Whitney, Chief Economist, Whitney Economics; Jonathan Miller and Alyssa Erickson, U.S. Hemp Roundtable; Asa Waldstein, Supplement Advisory Group; Xavier Jaillet, Clark Hill PLC; Steven Hoffman, Editor, Let’s Talk Hemp; Eric Singular, International Hemp; and Jean Lotus, Editor and Publisher, HempBuild Magazine.
Contact
Morris Beegle, WAFBA, info@nocohempexpo.com
Steven Hoffman, Compass Natural, steve@compassnaturalmarketing.com, tel 303.807.1042